Oct 09, 2019: The South West monsoon which has been active in October, is likely to begin its retreat from October 10, a delay of more than a month, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said. In fact there are heavy showers and monsoon activity still on in Karnataka and slowly tapering off in some areas. This is the longest delayed withdrawal of monsoon recorded by the IMD.
The monsoon was ‘above normal’ this year with the IMD recording precipitation of 110% of the Long Period Average (LPA).
The LPA between 1961 to 2010 is 88 centimetres.
“Due to likely formation of an anti-cyclonic circulation over Rajasthan at 1.5 kilometres above mean sea level around October 6, the withdrawal of southwest monsoon is likely to commence from northwest India around October 10,” the IMD said in its forecast.
Rains are likely to stop in northwest India after October 7 and conditions are ripe for withdrawal of monsoon, Mahesh Palawat, Vice President (Meteorology and Climate Change) of Skymet Weather said.
Normally, the monsoon starts withdrawing from west Rajasthan from September 1. the Sw monsoon is late to withdraw by about 45 days now.